Below are some very useful tools for the upcoming elections.
From all the information that I have been seeing, I DO NOT see this great Democratic victory that people have been talking about. I have known all along just how much of a long shot it would be for Democrats to win back Congress later this year. Maybe the Republican media wants to get Democratic hopes up so that when they don't win back the Congress it will look like a complete disaster for Democrats. Who knows!!
Part of the reason why it is nearly impossible for Democrats to win back Congress is because of the undemocratic, unfair, process of redistricting or in this case gerrymandering that has taken place over the last couple of decades. This has left a condition where most Congressional races are non-competitive; meaning that the seat for the Republi-Crat currently in power is a "safe seat". That is because the lines for these particular districts are drawn up in such a way that the districts are stacked full of Republican or Democratic voters. This is a practice that mostly benefits Republicans... but Democrats have also engaged in this practice and have benefited.
This is part of the reason why I do not consider the United States to be a Democracy. This notion of Democracy is a myth and has been a fraud perpetrated for many years. This Democracy myth has been able to persist for so long because most boneheaded Americans are not familiar with political systems outside of their own. If Americans were familiar with political systems in other countries, they would know that their system is pretty far from a true Democracy. The U.S. political system has a long way to go before it can truly be considered a Democracy. But most Americans will tell you that they are willing to put up with this lack of Democracy because they are able to drive around in their nice SUV's, and have nice material things, and no other country in the world can give them so many trinkets-- in other words, the economy is great to many Middle Class and upper Middle Class Americans right now. But I wonder what they will say when the economy is not so great, and they are left with an increasingly Autocratic & Theocratic system? Hmmm, They are already starting to moan about gas prices. By the time Americans wake up (if ever) it will be too late. They have already lost half of the U.S. Constitution.
Ralph Nader (who i'm no big fan of) really hits the nail on the head in his 2004 comments about the American political system. He supports my view on why Democrats will have an almost impossible task when it comes to winning back the Congress. When I heard this speech the first time, I was shocked. He pointed out that the gerrymandering and the lack of Democracy was worse than I thought. The vast majority of Congressional seats are safe for the person in power. There is really no Democracy whatsoever. America also has a defacto 1-party system.
Listen to Naders comments. Click the audio tab.
Here are the election resources: For those people who want to humor themselves and who still believe that any of this stuff matters, lol.
None of the maps or polling data that I have seen shows any significant gains by Democrats.
1. Election Projection
3. Congressional Quarterly
4. NPR Election Map
5. U.S. Election Atlas From Dave Leip (Note: Traditional political colors are reversed on this site, blue is Republican and red is for the Democrats)
This is my favorite election map. Click on each State and you get detailed info about polling in that State.
The Dave Leip site works best for Presidential races. I used it in 2004, and used some of the information from the 2000 (so-called) election, and the analysis from this site was as accurate as can be. Be sure to use it for 2008.